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Your unique visitor figures are 2-4 times too high

Analytics programs are never going to be 100% accurate but you might not expect them to be over-reading by 2-4 times on your unique visitor numbers.

According to research this is exactly what’s going on. Scout Analytics has developed algorithms for tracking users across different devices using dozens of unique attributes and utilize patent-pending algorithms to derive a unique signature for the device, network, even the individual user (biometric). Their systems use things like typing patterns to identify people across different computers for example, you can read more on the blog.

During the past 6 months, Scout Analytics tracked hundreds of thousands of subscribers through a combination of patent-pending tracking technologies of device and biometric signatures. Scout Analytics discovered cookies have an inherent weakness that causes them to overstate the user counts on an average of two to four times.

“Virtually all measurement techniques have some rate of error, but online marketers who have a heavy reliance on cookies need to know this method has astonishingly low accuracy,” said John Lovett, senior partner for Web Analytics Demystified. “Because of this, we expect new innovations in measurement technology in the near future that will no doubt minimize marketers’ reliance on cookies and dramatically improve measurement accuracy.”

I expect that some of the major analytics provided will be interested and worried about this. On the one hand they want their figures to be more accurate but on the other hand if they were to start using this technology all their customers unique visitor numbers would fall dramatically overnight.

Via

BY Patrick Altoft AT 9:42am ON Friday, 19 February 2010

Patrick Altoft is Director of Search at Branded3 and has worked in the SEO industry for over 10 years. With experience across some of the worlds largest brands as well as startup businesses Patrick is well known in the industry and speaks regularly at the major SEO conferences and events. Follow Patrick on Twitter or Google+

Comments

  • http://None Srinivas

    Whats your take on browser fingerprinting, does GA give enough information to track users via a browser finger print

  • http://www.blogstorm.co.uk Patrick Altoft

    I doubt Google Analytics is particularly accurate but if you use the same thing all the time it doesn’t really matter. I’m sure their browser fingerprinting isn’t amazing otherwise they would be shouting about it somewhere.

  • http://None Srinivas

    any Browser finger printing analytics provider you would suggest?

  • http://www.greatwebsitesblog.com badams

    I’m always sceptical about research published by a company in support of one of that company’s products. That research is rarely unbiased.

  • g1smd

    It stands to reason that for sites where users don’t logon, the same person accessing the site from work, home, and from their laptop and/or mobile phone is going to be counted as at least three different users.

    Likewise people who set their browser cookie permissions to ‘allow for session only’, will also appear to inflate the numbers of unique visitors who do not return.

  • http://www.blogstorm.co.uk Patrick Altoft

    Comcast came to the same conclusion a few years ago too.

  • http://www.oc-swimwear.co.uk Oli

    Crikey! Thats a bit upsetting. Mind you if everyone has to downgrade their counts then its not so bad… but who will be the first to give the true picture?

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  • http://www.blogercise.com BLOGERCISE

    As someone who was charged with deriving UV numbers from raw traffic data (collected via the TeaLeaf system) I can appreciate the difficulties. However internally the numbers were generally treated as “relative” – what does it actually mean if you UV count is 50k or 100k? It’s just a number and doesn’t really equate to anything.

    What we looked at in more details were the changes in UV counts.